Majority of Americans Expect Donald Trump to Win Against Joe Biden, According to Poll
Joe Biden should prepare to receive a big smackdown if a new poll can be believed.
The poll conducted by The Economist/YouGov reveals that a significant majority of Americans believe former President Donald Trump would defeat President Biden if they were their parties' respective nominees for president.
The poll asked respondents to predict the winner "regardless of who you prefer," and 44 percent chose Trump, while 35 percent chose Biden. The remaining 21 percent were undecided.
Interestingly, the poll also found that Americans are evenly split in terms of candidate support, with 43 percent supporting Biden and an equal percentage supporting Trump. Six percent of respondents selected "other," 5 percent were unsure, and 3 percent stated that they would not vote.
Furthermore, a majority of Americans, 57 percent, expect Donald Trump to secure the GOP nomination. This sentiment is particularly strong among Republicans, with 76 percent expressing their belief that Trump will be the GOP nominee for the presidency in 2024.
The data underscores Trump's commanding lead among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, as 65 percent of them stated that they would support Trump if the primary were held today.
The poll results align with the expectations of Republicans, who are confident in Trump's popularity and ability to secure the nomination.
Conversely, Democrats displayed less confidence in Trump's prospects, with only 45 percent of them expecting him to be the GOP nominee. A plurality of Democrats, 29 percent, responded with "not sure," while 26 percent believed someone else would win the nomination.
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Among independent voters, a majority of 53 percent believed that Trump would win the GOP nomination, while 35 percent were unsure, and 13 percent believed another candidate would emerge as the nominee.
The poll was conducted from January 7 to 9, 2022, and included 1,593 adult U.S. citizens. The margin of error was 3.2 percentage points, ensuring a reasonable level of accuracy in the findings.
As the 2024 presidential race begins to take shape, Americans' expectations and preferences regarding the candidates provide valuable insights into the political landscape.